Arkansas State vs Navy 11/20/2010

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Navy is a heavy favorite winning 78% of simulations over Arkansas State. Ricky Dobbs is averaging 88 passing yards and 0.9 TDs per simulation and Ricky Dobbs is projected for 102 rushing yards and a 81% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 22% of simulations where Arkansas State wins, Ryan Aplin averages 1.98 TD passes vs 0.57 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.11 TDs to 0.75 interceptions. Derek Lawson averages 45 rushing yards and 0.44 rushing TDs when Arkansas State wins and 38 yards and 0.21 TDs in losses. Navy has a 47% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NAVY -14.5

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